Taxonomy-corrected demographic estimates · Pradel recruitment and growth remain working-model estimates; see Model & provenance for limitations.
FIVE STATIONS · ONE MONITORING NETWORK
Life histories,
across the tropics.
Explore survival, recruitment and population growth, alongside the field effort and capture histories that inform each estimate.
Search approved common or scientific names · eBird/Clements v2025.
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Long-term apparent survival
Station comparisonAverage annual apparent survival over each station’s full monitoring window. Different windows limit direct comparisons. Uncertainty is calculated from within-draw averages, including unsampled intervals.
| Monitoring station | Median · 90% credible interval | Period | Individuals | Recaptured later | Sampled years | Total net-hours |
|---|
Annual apparent survival
Model: ST-CJSAll valid modeled intervals are shown at their start year, with posterior medians and 90% credible bands. Local sampling support appears below. Estimates with limited or no local sampling draw on the hierarchical model and broader encounter histories; interpret them with additional caution. Hover, tap, or focus a mark for details.
Select at least one monitoring station to view its history.
Local sampling support
How to interpret local sampling support
Tile colors identify stations; intensity and hatching identify sampling support. Full means both adjacent occasions were sampled; partial means one was sampled; no local sampling means neither was sampled. Tiles are centered at the same interval start year as their survival estimates. These annotations do not measure posterior precision and never hide estimates. During occasions with no accepted effort, detection probability was fixed at zero. Demographic quantities remain estimated by their hierarchical model and broader encounter histories. Low-support Pradel intervals may rely heavily on hierarchical structure. All displayed values are posterior model estimates, including those with sampling at both endpoints.
Sampling effort · usable 12-m net-hours
Each bar represents accepted usable effort in a sampling year. Open circles on the baseline mean exactly 0 net-hours. All rows share the same effort scale and calendar axis as the demographic figure. The accepted inputs contain no missing effort values.
Capture support · individuals and recaptures
Darker cells indicate more individuals recorded; counts describe encounter support, not abundance. Interannual recaptures count individuals encountered that year who had been encountered in an earlier year.
Reading apparent survival
Apparent survival describes the probability that an individual survives and remains available to the monitored population between sampling occasions. Mortality and permanent emigration cannot generally be distinguished.
Populations with more information are estimated primarily from their own capture histories, while populations with less information borrow statistical strength from the broader monitoring network. Annual trajectories vary by species and station. Credible intervals express model uncertainty, not raw variation in captures.